Browse Markets

🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Market Price
15.38x94%
Analyst Estimate
+75.5% edge18%
$4K vol
NO3w
Added on Jun 26, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Market Price
5.56x82%
Analyst Estimate
+73.6% edge8%
$704 vol
NO3mo
Added on Jul 4, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Market Price
14.39x93%
Analyst Estimate
+72.0% edge21%
$4K vol
NO6mo
Added on Jul 4, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Market Price
5.00x80%
Analyst Estimate
+71.6% edge8%
$4K vol
NO4w
Added on Jul 6, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

Market Price
8.37x88%
Analyst Estimate
+67.0% edge21%
$479 vol
NO6mo
Added on Jul 6, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Kalshi

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?: Todd Blanche

Market Price
4.35x77%
Analyst Estimate
+65.0% edge12%
$4K vol
NO31mo
Added on Jul 2, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Kalshi

Will Kash Patel leaves as FBI Director before Aug 1, 2026?: Before Aug 1, 2026

Market Price
12.66x8%
Analyst Estimate
+60.1% edge68%
$16K vol
YES3w
Added on Jul 10, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Market Price
2.67x63%
Analyst Estimate
+54.1% edge8%
$58K vol
NO6mo
Added on Jun 10, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Kalshi

Will Democrats win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party

Market Price
5.56x82%
Analyst Estimate
+47.0% edge35%
$7K vol
NO7mo
Added on Jun 26, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Market Price
1.94x49%
Analyst Estimate
+42.5% edge6%
$11K vol
NO6mo
Added on Jun 28, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?

Market Price
32.79x3%
Analyst Estimate
+41.9% edge45%
$2K vol
YES3w
Added on Jun 26, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Market Price
2.47x60%
Analyst Estimate
+41.5% edge18%
$21K vol
NO6mo
Added on Jul 8, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Market Price
22.22x5%
Analyst Estimate
+39.0% edge44%
$34K vol
YES6mo
Added on Jun 28, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Market Price
6.06x84%
Analyst Estimate
+38.5% edge45%
$15K vol
NO4mo
Added on Jun 27, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Kalshi

Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

Market Price
1.72x42%
Analyst Estimate
+38.4% edge4%
$11K vol
NO28mo
Added on Jul 1, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Market Price
9.52x11%
Analyst Estimate
+34.5% edge45%
$51K vol
YES7d
Added on Jun 30, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Market Price
1.98x50%
Analyst Estimate
+34.5% edge15%
$21K vol
NO3w
Added on Jul 8, 2026
🏛️POLITICS
Polymarket

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?

Market Price
1.55x36%
Analyst Estimate
+30.7% edge5%
$16K vol
NO8w
Added on Jul 9, 2026
Showing 18 of 153 markets
2602 markets scored by gpt-4o • Updated 7/10/2026